Advertising set for mild 2010 recovery-forecast

Posted: Wednesday, 9 September 2009 - 4:04pm Bookmark and Share

ZenithOptimedia said it had revised down its forecast for 2009, from an earlier prediction of a 6.9 percent drop, after the first quarter came in worse than expected. WPP's GroupM agency said in June it expected global advertising to drop 5.5 percent in 2009 before a mild recovery in 2010."Faced with extreme uncertainty, advertisers in most sectors planned for the worst and cut their costs in anticipation of steep drops in revenue," the Zenith report said. Of the different platforms, the Internet is the only medium expected to grow in 2009, while television, cinema and outdoor advertising are set to decline by less than the overall market.Advertisers say using the Internet allows brands to be flexible and see consumer response rates, which is important during a downturn.Zenith forecast Internet advertising expenditure growth of 10.1 percent in 2009 and said it expected the medium to account for 15.1 percent of all advertising expenditure by 2011, from 10.5 percent in 2008."Most of this growth will come from paid search, which is an ideal method of reaching consumers looking for bargains," the report said."In the U.S. we predict search advertising to grow 20 percent in 2009, while traditional display grows 3 percent and classified grows just 1.8 percent. However with the move of money from print to online, the newspaper industry has been hurt. Newspaper advertising was predicted to shrink 14.7 percent while magazines face an even tougher time as luxury advertisers pull back.More ...